Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 60.414507 68.637850 77.104881 86.441236 96.415183 106.720974 118.144373
2025-05-04 47.163491 58.759591 71.309491 85.763562 101.820789 118.992867 138.628845
2025-05-11 38.977817 52.250197 67.175105 84.916823 105.167157 127.323050 153.166654
2025-05-18 33.591708 48.096752 64.964164 85.553116 109.572346 136.325006 168.007086
2025-05-25 28.720698 43.924917 62.193307 85.052474 112.253987 143.032831 179.964208
2025-06-01 25.090201 40.856679 60.384547 85.367499 115.612215 150.295709 192.369581
2025-06-08 21.447844 37.372631 57.737068 84.383141 117.194181 155.311054 202.033290
2025-06-15 19.281025 35.622900 57.091881 85.703440 121.414419 163.321992 215.103830
2025-06-22 17.443591 34.132974 56.632921 87.134919 125.677497 171.320436 228.119763
2025-06-29 15.043112 31.579644 54.573031 86.366056 127.104537 175.838550 236.960952
2025-07-06 12.521403 28.558231 51.659925 84.307306 126.774420 178.123851 243.055917
2025-07-13 11.923430 28.479935 52.793319 87.550805 133.115913 188.513677 258.855462
2025-07-20 10.949106 27.714887 52.925540 89.468303 137.817961 196.980156 272.465232
2025-07-27 9.395350 25.799761 51.278441 88.894535 139.266263 201.414531 281.199078
2025-08-03 7.951267 23.879661 49.486018 88.011200 140.228209 205.184051 289.078785
2025-08-10 7.021744 22.777458 48.844142 88.663991 143.155221 211.376465 299.902753
2025-08-17 5.952047 21.244581 47.432405 88.152192 144.487524 215.529996 308.202191
2025-08-24 5.164277 20.157712 46.645422 88.474025 146.888934 221.007716 318.120784
2025-08-31 4.239063 18.604150 44.997101 87.468572 147.449662 224.109468 325.072779
2025-09-07 3.792552 18.060737 44.974462 88.817128 151.179504 231.248921 337.045822
2025-09-14 3.405049 17.592147 45.042667 90.279042 155.054359 238.575001 349.262163
2025-09-21 2.759836 16.322793 43.650498 89.493857 155.806619 241.856559 356.406248
2025-09-28 2.057284 14.668552 41.452492 87.391110 154.667086 242.639547 360.374719